Last Week Result:

We have recorded about 46.7k(predicted 47.1k) daily average cases for last week. Highest single day spike was ~50k (predicted ~50k) Wednesday – ~15.68 lakh reached at the time of this post (predicted ~15.63 lakh)

Last Week..

This week forecast India🇮🇳 update:

✅Best case & ❌Worst-case scenario:
Daily ⏰Cases Average: 55k best case or 60k worst case
Wednesday – 19.73 lakh best case or 20.05 lakh worst case
We could likely see upto ~60k single day spike this week.

🇮🇳India Facts:

Average Test Rate - ~3.94 lakh per day. India Tests per million reaches 12.85k
Confirmed Cases:continues at Rank 2. Also reported highest single day numbers 50.07k (3.24 lakh cases compared to 2.48 lakh week before) Growth Rate at 1.31 times compared to last week.
Deaths:moves to Rank 3 compared to week before. 5326 Deaths recorded compared to 4355 week before
Recovered Cases:continues at Rank 2 in top recovered. 2.226 lakh Compared to 1.53 lakh recovered the week before.
Top 3:
⛔Maharashtra reported highest single day cases of ~10576. Total of 65k compared to 57.7k week before.
✅Tamil Nadu moves t0 3rd with Total of 45k compared to 32.8k week before. Their highest single day cases recorded 6988.
Andhra Pradesh jumps to 2nd with total of 48.6k cases compared to 22.6k week before. More than twice the number of cases
Odisa moves up gets in to Top 10. Andhra, Odisha, UP, Uttarakhand, Jharkhand, Chattisgarh, Bihar up tick in cases week on week
📛Maharashtra (1853) and TamilNadu(1020) reporting highest deaths followed by Karnataka – 552. TamilNadu & Gujarat see spike in deaths
✅Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Delhi in Top 3 recovered states. Telangana was trending in recovery cases compared to week before.
Weekly State Trend Charts:
🔺Upswing: Andhra, Odisha, Chattisgarh, Jharkhand have reported close to twice cases compared to last week. All other states continue growth rates on week on week comparision
✅Downswing: Delhi, Telangana, J&K, Goa, Tripura have reported slightly lesser cases compared to last week.

🌏World Facts:🌎

US🇺🇸 India & Brazil🇧🇷 in top 3 for Top Growth last week.India cases have overtaken Brazil and 2nd spot for this week with more than 1.33 times cases reported week before.

🔺India continues at 2nd place close to Brazil. Cases increased 1.39 times the week before.
🔺China has seen spike 5.89 times the cases (1161) compared to the week before (197). Significant considering cases have gone very less over past months
✅Brazil🇧🇷, India & US in Top 3 for Recovered cases.
⛔Brazil🇧🇷,US🇺🇸, India in Top 3 in terms of Deaths. Peru reported close to 4.44 times deaths (5034) reported the week before.
⛔Peru & South Africa moves up in top 10 ranks in terms of deaths.
📛UpSwing Countries week on week comparison: 📛
Confirmed Cases: China,Morocco,Kosovo,Lebanon,Gabon,Libya,Ethiopia,Belgium,Czechia,Singapore,Spain,Netherlands,Japan,Ghana,Romania,Zimbabwe,France,Venezuela,Brazil,Poland,Peru,Bosnia and Herzegovina,Argentina,Australia,India
Deaths: Peru,South Africa,Argentina,US,Colombia,India,Mexico,Iran,Brazil,Indonesia,Iraq,Russia,Chile
Recovered:Ethiopia,Norway,Zambia,Czechia,Romania,West Bank and Gaza,Bosnia and Herzegovina,Bulgaria,Madagascar,Congo (Kinshasa),Ecuador,Israel,Mexico,Nigeria,Uzbekistan,France,Australia,Japan,Oman,Egypt
Continents Trending: (Ordered by Highest growth rate in Confirmed cases in comparision to week before) – Top 30 countries considered.
Many Asian countries cases are trending.

• South America – Brazil,Argentina,Peru,Venezuela
• Asia – China,Japan,India,Lebanon,Singapore
• North America – Costa Rica,El Salvador
• Africa – Ethiopia,Madagascar,Ghana,Gabon,Morocco,Zimbabwe
• Europe – Spain,Romania,Bosnia and Herzegovina,Netherlands,France,Belgium,Moldova,Switzerland,Poland

Assumptions: Upswing countries considered minimum 500 cases reported in past week and rate of increase greater than 1.5 times the week before.
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