Last Week Forecast Result:

We forecasted as per best/worst case upto 9.5k cases per day and we have recorded about 9.7k daily average cases for last week. Our best/worst case scenario last week was to reach upto ~2.53lakh by Sunday and reached 2.57lakh. Predicted upto 2.82lakh by Wednesday and we are at 2.84lakh at the time of this post

Last Week..

This week forecast India🇮🇳 update:

✅Best case & ❌Worst-case scenario:
Daily ⏰Cases Average: 10.5k best case or 11.5k worst case
Sunday 31st May – 3.28 lakh best case or 3.32 lakh worst case
Wednesday – 3.6 lakh best case or 3.67 lakh worst case
We are mostly leaning towards worst case over the past few weeks where cases continue to rise at ~1.2 times week on week basis. We could likely see upto ~12.5k single day spikes this week.

🇮🇳India Facts:

Average Test Rate - ~1.33lakh per day from 1.14lakh the week before. India Tests per million reaches 3.74k from previous week 3.03k
Confirmed Cases:moves up to Rank 3 compared to previous weeks Rank 4. Also reported highest single day numbers 10882 (67.55k cases compared to 53.4k week before) Growth Rate at 1.26 times compared to last week.
Deaths:Moves up to Rank 4 from Rank 5 the week before. 1865 Deaths recorded compared to 1436 week before
Recovered Cases:moves down to Rank 5 in top recovered. 33k Compared to 35k recovered the week before.
Top 3:
⛔Maharashtra reported highest single day cases of ~3007. Total of 18.5k compared to 17.3k week before.
✅Tamil Nadu moves up to 2nd daily average increased to ~1390 compared to ~916 before. Total of 9.7k compared to 6.4k week before. Their highest single day cases recorded 1685.
📛Delhi moves down to 3rd with total of 9.1k cases compared to 6.7k week before and daily average of ~1300 cases recorded this week. It has peaked to ~1513 cases on single day last week
Haryana and Karnataka moves up in rank in Top 10 with both states doubling their cases reported from week before
📛Maharashtra (807) and Delhi – 351 reporting highest deaths followed by Gujarat(217)
✅Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Gujarat in Top 3 recovered states. Karnataka, West Bengal, Delhi are all trending in recovery cases.
Weekly State Trend Charts:
🔺Upswing: Goa, Manipur,Chattisgarh, Jharkhand, Haryana reporting more than twice the cases reported last week. Goa cases spike from 6 cases week before to 257 cases
✅Downswing: Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Telangana, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh have reported slightly lesser cases compared to last week.

🌏World Facts:🌎

Brazil🇧🇷 ,US🇺🇸 &India in top 3 for Top Growth last week.🇧🇷Brazil cases continue to soar at 1.19 times week before incrementally topping the charts for confirmed cases.

🔺India moves up to 3rd place from last weeks 4th place overtaking Russia. Cases increased 1.26 times the week before.
🔺Pakistan move up to 5th place compared to last weeks 9th place with cases (35857) increasing 2.26 times the week before (16111).
🔺Bangladesh moves into Top 10 with cases (18970) increasing 1.36 times the week before (13949).
✅Brazil🇧🇷 Chile & US in Top 3 for Recovered cases. Chile has reported 4 times more cases (67302) than week before (15644)
⛔Brazil🇧🇷,US🇺🇸,Mexico continue in Top 3 in terms of Deaths.
⛔Chile reported 3.27 times more deaths (1151) compared to week before (352)
📛UpSwing Countries week on week comparison: 📛
Confirmed Cases: South Sudan,Iraq,North Macedonia,Ecuador,Pakistan,Israel,Central African Republic,Sweden,Cote d'Ivoire,Nepal,Venezuela,,Armenia,Azerbaijan,Mauritania,Colombia,South Africa
Deaths: Chile, Pakistan, Mexico, India, Brazil
Recovered: Serbia,Iraq,Chile,Brazil,Armenia,Colombia,Senegal,Afghanistan,Bolivia,Egypt
Continents Trending: (Ordered by Highest Confirmed cases reported) – Top 30 countries considered.
Many Asian countries cases are trending.

• South America – Brazil, Chile, Peru, Columbia, Argentina, Ecuador
• Asia – India, Pakistan, Iran, Bangladesh, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Iraq, Turkey, Oman, Afghanistan, Indonesia, Kuwait, UAE, Phillipines,
• North America – US, Mexico, Canada
• Africa – South Africa, Egypt,
• Europe – UK, Sweden, Belarus

Assumptions: Upswing countries considered minimum 500 cases reported in past week and rate of increase greater than 1.5 times the week before.
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